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Super League
Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis
OFI Crete
S S T T T
0–1
Full-time
AEK
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
89%
11%
Both score Ø 33%
44%
22%
Average goals
3,4
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
4 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 12. · AEK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 11 9 1 1 +17 28
2 PAOK 9 7 2 0 +14 23
3 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
4 AEK 9 6 1 2 +3 19
5 Volos NFC 10 5 0 5 -3 15
6 Panetolikos 11 4 2 5 -2 14
7 Panathinaikos 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Atromitos 10 2 3 5 -1 9
12 OFI Crete 9 3 0 6 -7 9
13 Asteras Tripolis 11 1 5 5 -4 8
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
29′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
Giannis Apostolakis 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 I. Chatzitheodoridis
↦ J. Neira
F. Pierrot 🔁
↦ D. Kaloskamis
65′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ R. Marin
66′
68′
🔁 F. Zanelatto
↦ T. Fountas
74′
O. Pineda 0–1
F. Pierrot
81′
🔁 I. Vukotic
↦ N. Marinakis
82′
🔁 M. Rakonjac
↦ I. Theodosoulakis
82′
🔁 E. Faitakis
↦ L. Shengelia
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ L. Jovic
86′
Manolis Faitakis 🟨
93′
R. Ljubicic 🔁
↦ A. Koita
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-1-3-2
1 T. Strakosha
8 M. Gacinovic
2 H. Moukoudi
44 F. Relvas
29 J. Penrice
13 O. Pineda
18 R. Marin
17 D. Kaloskamis
11 A. Koita
10 Joao Mario
9 L. Jovic
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
3 S. Pilios
28 M. Odubajo
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos
4 M. Grujic
6 J. Jonsson
20 P. Mantalos
23 R. Ljubicic
37 R. Pereyra
14 F. Pierrot

Coach: Milan Rastavac

AEK

4-2-2-2
1 K. Lilo
4 N. Marinakis
24 V. Lampropoulos
2 K. Krizmanic
21 I. Apostolakis
6 Z. Karachalios
11 T. Fountas
14 A. Androutsos
27 L. Shengelia
10 J. Neira
46 I. Theodosoulakis
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
31 N. Christogeorgos
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
5 K. Kostoulas
22 G. Christopoulos
52 K. Lagoudakis
8 I. Vukotic
25 F. Bainovic
77 M. Rakonjac
7 F. Zanelatto
71 A. Sitmalidis
70 E. Faitakis

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,32
U
4,31
B ✓
1,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandros Tsakalidis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.