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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes

Rosenborg

T S U S T

2–3

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 36%

41%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

65%

Both score Ø 58%

45%

70%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,52 xG 1,91

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 24

0 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 6. · Sarpsborg 08 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	24	16	5	3	+26	+21.7	53
2	Bodo/Glimt	23	16	4	3	+41	+39.1	52
3	Brann	23	14	4	5	+9	+18.3	46
4	Tromso	24	14	3	7	+9	+5.4	45
5	Sandefjord	23	11	1	11	+6	-5.2	34
6	Rosenborg	22	9	7	6	+1	+2.9	34
7	Valerenga	24	10	4	10	-1	-7.5	34
8	KFUM Oslo	24	8	9	7	+8	+7.8	33
9	Fredrikstad	24	8	8	8	+2	-2.2	32
10	Molde	24	9	3	12	+2	+2.6	30
11	Kristiansund	24	8	6	10	-17	-16.4	30
12	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	8	8	+1	+11.4	29
13	Ham-Kam	24	6	7	11	-10	-12.1	25
14	Bryne	24	6	6	12	-11	-4.4	24
15	Stromsgodset	24	6	2	16	-19	-22.4	20
16	Haugesund	24	1	3	20	-47	-38.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	12	9	2	1	+17	+14.7	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	1	2	+26	+23.9	28
3	Sandefjord	12	9	0	3	+16	+1.5	27
4	Brann	11	8	2	1	+8	+12.0	26
5	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+8	+6.7	25
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
7	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
8	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
9	KFUM Oslo	12	5	4	3	+8	+4.8	19
10	Molde	12	6	1	5	+6	+9.2	19
11	Bryne	12	5	3	4	-1	+4.2	18
12	Kristiansund	12	4	4	4	-2	-6.2	16
13	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-3	-4.5	15
14	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	4	4	+1	+3.1	13
15	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-11	-8.5	10
16	Haugesund	12	1	2	9	-23	-10.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	12	7	3	2	+9	+6.9	24
3	Tromso	12	6	2	4	+1	-1.3	20
4	Brann	12	6	2	4	+1	+6.4	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	+0	+8.4	16
6	KFUM Oslo	12	3	5	4	+0	+3.0	14
7	Rosenborg	12	4	2	6	-9	-5.4	14
8	Kristiansund	12	4	2	6	-15	-10.2	14
9	Valerenga	12	4	1	7	-8	-7.7	13
10	Molde	12	3	2	7	-4	-6.6	11
11	Fredrikstad	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.5	10
12	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.7	10
13	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
14	Sandefjord	11	2	1	8	-10	-6.8	7
15	Bryne	12	1	3	8	-10	-8.5	6
16	Haugesund	12	0	1	11	-24	-28.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.