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Super League

Referee: Daniel Schlager

Panathinaikos

U T S T S

2–1

Full-time

PAOK

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

33%

78%

Points per game

1,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

22%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 7. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	PAOK	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	AEK	10	7	1	2	+4	22
4	Levadeiakos	11	5	4	2	+14	19
5	Volos NFC	11	6	0	5	-2	18
6	Panetolikos	11	4	2	5	-2	14
7	Panathinaikos	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	3	4	3	-2	13
9	Aris	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Kifisia	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Atromitos	11	2	3	6	-2	9
12	OFI Crete	10	3	0	7	-8	9
13	Asteras Tripolis	11	1	5	5	-4	8
14	Larisa	10	1	4	5	-9	7
15	Panserraikos	11	1	3	7	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Levadeiakos	7	4	2	1	+13	14
3	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	AEK	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	Volos NFC	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Panathinaikos	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Panetolikos	5	2	0	3	+1	6
9	OFI Crete	6	2	0	4	+0	6
10	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Aris	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Kifisia	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Panserraikos	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	-4	2
15	Larisa	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	AEK	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Volos NFC	7	3	0	4	-3	9
5	Kifisia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Panetolikos	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Aris	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Levadeiakos	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Panathinaikos	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Larisa	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	OFI Crete	4	1	0	3	-8	3
14	Asteras Tripolis	7	0	2	5	-7	2
15	Panserraikos	6	0	2	4	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.