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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Brondby

S U S T S

2–0

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 54%

64%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 3. · Nordsjaelland 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	9	5	1	+22	+2.1	32
2	Aarhus	15	9	4	2	+13	+13.0	31
3	Brondby	14	9	1	4	+12	+9.9	28
4	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+12.2	25
5	Sonderjyske	15	6	4	5	+2	-1.9	22
6	Viborg	15	6	1	8	-1	-3.4	19
7	Odense	15	5	4	6	-10	+3.9	19
8	Nordsjaelland	14	6	0	8	-5	-3.0	18
9	Silkeborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-9.0	18
10	Randers FC	15	5	2	8	-6	+0.5	17
11	Fredericia	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.8	11
12	Vejle	15	2	4	9	-10	-10.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	+13	+5.1	18
2	Aarhus	8	5	1	2	+6	+13.4	16
3	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.3	13
4	Sonderjyske	7	4	1	2	+5	+0.8	13
5	Odense	8	3	2	3	-4	+4.3	11
6	FC Copenhagen	7	2	4	1	+2	+7.9	10
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.5	10
8	Randers FC	7	3	1	3	-3	-1.6	10
9	Viborg	7	3	0	4	-1	-3.4	9
10	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-3	+1.2	9
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	8	2	1	5	-10	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	7	4	3	0	+7	-0.4	15
2	Brondby	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.6	15
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	0	3	+5	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+9	-3.0	14
5	Viborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+0.1	10
6	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.3	9
7	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.8	9
8	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	-0.4	8
9	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
10	Randers FC	8	2	1	5	-3	+2.1	7
11	Fredericia	7	1	1	5	-7	-7.4	4
12	Vejle	7	0	2	5	-9	-7.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.