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Pro League
Referee: Massimiliano Ledda
St Truiden
T S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T T U S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
57%
100%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,4
4,7
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,6
2,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 9. · Westerlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 8 7 1 0 +23 +1.2 22
2 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 +9 +4.5 21
3 Gent 7 6 1 0 +9 +2.2 19
4 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 +4.7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 +2 +2.7 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 +3 +1.9 11
7 Standard 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.4 11
8 Genk 6 2 3 1 +4 +5.3 9
9 St Truiden 7 2 3 2 +2 +1.0 9
10 Beveren 6 3 0 3 -3 -4.4 9
11 Lommel United 7 2 2 3 -2 -0.5 8
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 -4 -0.4 7
14 Westerlo 7 2 1 4 -7 -4.9 7
15 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 -7 -3.0 4
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 1 5 -8 -5.3 4
17 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 -7 -0.2 3
18 Mechelen 7 0 3 4 -9 -1.0 3
19 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 -14 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Westerlo
36′
Norman Bassette 0–1
Cisse Sandra
Half-time 0–2
46′
Cisse Sandra 0–2
Isa Sakamoto
Nathanael Mbuku 🔁
↦ Ryotaro Araki
60′
71′
🔁 Nikola Storm
↦ Shunsuke Saito
71′
🔁 Pape Daouda Diong
↦ Isa Sakamoto
73′
🟨 Norman Bassette
Visar Musliu 🟨
73′
Oumar Diouf 🔁
↦ Kaito Matsuzawa
75′
Nelson Ishiwatari 🔁
↦ Abdoulaye Sissako
75′
Joedrick Pupe 🔁
↦ Taiga Hata
75′
78′
🔁 David Amegnaglo
↦ Norman Bassette
78′
🔁 Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
↦ Cameron Congreve
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
60 R. Vanwesemael D
5 S. Taniguchi D
26 V. Musliu D
3 T. Hata D
14 R. Merlen M
8 A. Sissako M
38 K. Matsuzawa M
71 R. Araki M
10 I. Sebaoui M
9 S. Baždar F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
11 N. Mbuku
23 J. Pupe
99 S. Shinkawa
4 K. Takai
18 N. Ishiwatari
33 A. Diriken
77 O. Diouf
22 W. Janssens

Coach: F. De Meyer

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
99 A. Jungdal G
2 L. Flø D
5 S. Kimura D
4 A. Lapage D
28 D. Ourega D
45 I. Fofana M
14 C. Sandra M
20 C. Congreve M
13 I. Sakamoto M
7 S. Saito M
9 N. Bassette F
Bench (9)
17 D. Amegnaglo
40 B. Balogh
11 N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
26 D. Diongu
1 B. Lathouwers
23 L. Mbamba-Muanda
10 N. Storm
8 S. Sydorchuk
39 T. Van den Keybus

Coach: I. Charaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U
4,02
B ✓
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,10
U1,5
6,00
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,75
O3,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
1,74
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,44
BLS nei ✓
2,60

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.