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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Antwerp

U S S S U

1–4

Full-time

St Truiden

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,7

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 3,38

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antwerp 7. · St Truiden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	5	5	0	0	+8	+4.5	15
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.7	9
3	Gent	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.2	9
4	Standard	4	2	2	0	+3	-0.4	8
5	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
6	Genk	4	2	1	1	+4	+5.3	7
7	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.2	7
8	Lommel SK	4	2	1	1	+4	–	7
9	Lommel United	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
10	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
11	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
12	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
13	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.2	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.2	2
15	Mechelen	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.0	1
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.5	0
18	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-8	-3.4	0
19	Westerlo	4	0	0	4	-13	-4.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.8	6
2	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
3	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
6	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
7	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
8	Lommel SK	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
9	Lommel United	2	1	0	1	+3	-0.4	3
10	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
11	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
12	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
13	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
14	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
16	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.7	1
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
18	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
2	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
3	Lommel SK	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Lommel United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
5	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
6	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
7	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.5	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
10	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
13	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
14	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.9	0
19	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.