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Pro League
Referee: Bert Verbeke
St Truiden
U S T S T
4–0
Full-time
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden RAAL La Louviere
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 78%
80%
75%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
23 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 11. · RAAL La Louviere 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +8 +4.7 15
2 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.5 15
3 St. Gilloise 5 4 1 0 +11 +1.2 13
4 Gent 4 4 0 0 +5 +2.2 12
5 Waregem 4 2 2 0 +5 +1.9 8
6 Standard 4 2 2 0 +3 -0.4 8
7 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
8 Lommel SK 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Lommel United 5 2 1 2 +3 -0.5 7
10 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.4 7
11 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 +0 +1.0 6
12 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 -2 +2.7 6
13 Westerlo 6 1 1 4 -9 -4.9 4
14 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
15 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 -3 -0.2 2
16 Mechelen 5 0 2 3 -8 -1.0 2
17 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 0 0 4 -7 -3.5 0
19 Kortrijk 4 0 0 4 -9 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden RAAL La Louviere
9′
🟨 Mustapha Isah Ubandoma
Ilias Sebaoui 🟨
13′
1–0 Ryan Merlen
Kaito Matsuzawa
41′
Wolke Janssens 🔁
↦ Shogo Taniguchi
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Ryan Merlen
54′
59′
🔁 Nolan Gillot
↦ Thierry Lutonda
60′
🔁 Anas Tajaouart
↦ Elias Filet
61′
🟨 Shaquil Delos
3–0 Samed Baždar
Abdoulaye Sissako
73′
Nelson Ishiwatari 🔁
↦ Ryotaro Araki
74′
74′
🔁 Léandro Rousseau
↦ Mustapha Isah Ubandoma
Joedrick Pupe 🔁
↦ Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
74′
74′
🔁 Matyas Kovacs
↦ Shaquil Delos
4–0 Samed Baždar
Abdoulaye Sissako
78′
Nathanael Mbuku 🔁
↦ Ilias Sebaoui
80′
Oumar Diouf 🔁
↦ Samed Baždar
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
60 R. Vanwesemael D
5 S. Taniguchi D
26 V. Musliu D
3 T. Hata D
8 A. Sissako M
14 R. Merlen M
38 K. Matsuzawa M
71 R. Araki M
10 I. Sebaoui M
9 S. Baždar F
Bench (8)
77 O. Diouf
33 A. Diriken
18 N. Ishiwatari
22 W. Janssens
21 M. Lendfers
11 N. Mbuku
23 J. Pupe
99 S. Shinkawa

Coach: F. De Meyer

RAAL La Louviere

3-4-1-2
21 M. Peano G
44 M. Boukamir D
33 P. Nkoa D
99 Y. Okou D
18 S. Delos M
48 I. Coulibaly M
29 M. Courcoul M
5 T. Lutonda M
30 Z. Gruber M
9 E. Filet F
11 M. Ubandoma F
Bench (9)
10 M. Wade
78 A. Tajaouart
28 B. Soumaré
90 L. Rousseau
91 T. Radelet
7 M. Kovács
23 J. Ito
22 S. Gourville
4 W. Faye

Coach: Edward Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,92
B
4,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,00
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,75
BLS nei ✓
1,96

Referee

Bert Verbeke · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.