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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
St Truiden
U U S T S
0–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 11. · St. Gilloise 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 5 5 0 0 +8 +4.5 15
2 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 +6 +4.7 9
3 Gent 3 3 0 0 +4 +2.2 9
4 Waregem 4 2 2 0 +5 +1.9 8
5 Standard 4 2 2 0 +3 -0.4 8
6 St. Gilloise 3 2 1 0 +7 +1.2 7
7 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
8 Lommel SK 4 2 1 1 +4 7
9 Lommel United 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
10 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.4 7
11 St Truiden 4 1 3 0 +3 +1.0 6
12 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 -3 +2.7 3
13 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
14 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 -3 -0.2 2
15 Mechelen 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.0 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
17 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -13 -4.9 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.5 0
19 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden St. Gilloise
21′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
23′
Louis Patris 0–1
Mateo Biondic
Half-time 0–1
Abdoulaye Sissako 🟨
47′
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael 🟨
49′
Nelson Ishiwatari 🟨
54′
55′
Kevin Mac Allister 0–2
Besfort Zeneli
55′
ℹ️ Kevin Mac Allister
VAR: Goal confirmed
Ryan Merlen 🔁
↦ Nelson Ishiwatari
57′
Samed Baždar 🔁
↦ Oumar Diouf
57′
61′
🟨 Kamiel Van De Perre
63′
Relebohile Mofokeng 0–3
Mateo Biondic
65′
🔁 Darius Olaru
↦ Relebohile Mofokeng
65′
🔁 Denzel De Roeve
↦ Guilherme Smith
Kaito Matsuzawa 🔁
↦ Ryotaro Araki
65′
71′
🔁 Sekou Abrahame Keita
↦ Mateo Biondic
72′
🔁 Rob Schoofs
↦ Kamiel Van De Perre
Shion Shinkawa 🔁
↦ Arbnor Muja
72′
Taiga Hata 🔁
↦ Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
72′
79′
🔁 Raul Florucz
↦ Besfort Zeneli
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
60 R. Vanwesemael D
22 W. Janssens D
26 V. Musliu D
23 J. Pupe D
18 N. Ishiwatari M
8 A. Sissako M
7 A. Muja M
71 R. Araki M
10 I. Sebaoui M
77 O. Diouf F
Bench (9)
14 R. Merlen
38 K. Matsuzawa
21 M. Lendfers
3 T. Hata
33 A. Diriken
31 I. Benachour
9 S. Baždar
99 S. Shinkawa
5 S. Taniguchi

Coach: F. De Meyer

St. Gilloise

3-4-3
12 H. Koffi G
5 K. Mac Allister D
29 M. Sylla D
80 O. Kričfaluši D
27 L. Patris M
8 A. Zorgane M
6 K. Van de Perre M
11 Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho M
38 R. Mofokeng F
9 M. Biondic F
23 B. Zeneli F
Bench (9)
17 R. Schoofs
1 V. Chambaere
21 D. De Roeve
30 R. Florucz
55 N. Havenaar
28 D. Olaru
14 I. Pavlić
39 Y. Hamoutahar
32 S. Keita

Coach: D. Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,53
U
3,45
B ✓
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,40
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,02
O3,5
2,65
U3,5 ✓
1,47
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,56
BLS nei ✓
2,30

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.