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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

St Truiden

U U S U T

2–0

Full-time

Westerlo

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

63%

88%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,6

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,15 xG 1,04

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Westerlo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	9	6	1	2	+6	+13.0	19
2	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+13	+2.6	16
3	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+7	+5.8	14
4	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+6	+4.9	14
5	Gent	8	4	1	3	+6	-3.0	13
6	Anderlecht	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.9	13
7	Dender	9	3	4	2	+0	-1.4	13
8	St. Gilloise	7	3	3	1	+5	+6.4	12
9	Mechelen	7	3	1	3	+1	-1.2	10
10	Westerlo	8	2	2	4	-2	+1.6	8
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	5	2	-2	+1.7	8
12	Standard	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.1	8
13	Kortrijk	9	2	1	6	-12	-6.3	7
14	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-9	-5.1	6
15	Beerschot VA	9	1	2	6	-11	-10.2	5
16	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-11	-8.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	5	4	1	0	+7	+6.4	13
2	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
3	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+11	+3.1	9
4	Gent	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.9	9
5	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.1	9
6	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.3	9
7	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
8	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
9	Mechelen	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.8	6
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+1.8	6
11	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.1	6
12	Kortrijk	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.5	6
13	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
14	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
15	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
16	Beerschot VA	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.8	10
2	Dender	5	2	2	1	-2	-2.1	8
3	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.5	7
4	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
5	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
6	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
7	Gent	4	1	1	2	-1	-4.9	4
8	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
9	St. Gilloise	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
11	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
12	Standard	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
13	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
14	Kortrijk	5	0	1	4	-10	-4.8	1
15	Cercle Brugge	5	0	1	4	-11	-7.2	1
16	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.