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Eredivisie
Referee: Stan Teuben
2–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T T T S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · Zwolle 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 +10 +7.5 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +10 +9.1 10
3 Feyenoord 4 2 2 0 +4 +7.8 8
4 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 +2.6 7
5 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 +2 -1.2 7
6 For Sittard 4 2 1 1 +1 -6.5 7
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 +4 +2.0 6
8 Twente 3 2 0 1 +4 +4.1 6
9 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +4 +1.2 6
10 Groningen 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.1 6
11 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 -1 -3.1 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 +0 -1.9 4
13 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 -4 -1.6 3
14 Telstar 3 1 0 2 -5 -2.6 3
15 Willem II 3 0 1 2 -6 -2.1 1
16 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 -7 -6.2 1
17 Utrecht 4 0 1 3 -9 -3.0 1
18 Cambuur 4 0 0 4 -12 -5.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle
21′
Ibrahim Cissoko 0–1
Dylan Mbayo
1–1 Milan Zonneveld
Julian Baas
24′
Half-time 1–1
63′
🔁 Odysseus Velanas
↦ Thijs Oosting
63′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi 🔁
↦ Casper Terho
68′
2–1 Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
Milan Zonneveld
69′
75′
🔁 Sydney van Hooijdonk
↦ Ibrahim Cissoko
75′
🔁 Damian van der Haar
↦ Sherel Floranus
Jens Toornstra 🔁
↦ Cedric Hatenboer
79′
Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy 🔁
↦ Julian Baas
79′
80′
Koen Kostons 2–2
Tobias Sommer
86′
🟨 Tobias Sommer
Andrej Kostić 🔁
↦ Milan Zonneveld
86′
Nick Verschuren 🔁
↦ Bruno Martins Indi
86′
88′
🔁 Elias Sörensen
↦ Tobias Sommer
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
2 L. Martes D
3 M. Young D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 B. Kuipers D
6 J. Baas M
8 Cedric Hatenboer M
7 C. Terho M
10 S. Mito M
11 M. van Bergen M
9 M. Zonneveld F
Bench (11)
20 F. Bednarek
22 Joel Ideho
21 I. Babadi
19 Andrej Kostić
30 P. Kuiper
14 Teo Quintero
12 B. Reith
16 A. Roaldsøy
18 J. Toornstra
13 N. Verschuren
15 G. Vianello

Coach: R. Meijer

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
24 N. Viergever D
2 S. Floranus D
30 R. Thomas M
8 T. Sommer M
11 D. Mbayo M
25 T. Oosting M
22 I. Cissoko M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (12)
9 E. Sørensen
26 Jadiel Pereira da Gama
38 G. Rahajaän
20 G. Reiziger
18 O. Velanas
4 T. Velthuis
41 D. Verduin
16 T. de Graaff
17 S. van Hooijdonk
33 D. van der Haar
37 Gilles van der Wal
34 N. Fichtinger

Coach: Henry van der Vegt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,75
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
5,50
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,47
O3,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5
1,62
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,48
BLS nei
2,50

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.