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Eredivisie
Referee: Jannick van der Laan
Willem II
T S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,70 xG 1,35
39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 16. · Heerenveen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 +10 +7.5 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +10 +9.1 10
3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 +5.6 7
4 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 +2 -1.2 7
5 For Sittard 4 2 1 1 +1 -6.5 7
6 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 +4 +2.0 6
7 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +4 +1.2 6
8 Groningen 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.1 6
9 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.6 4
10 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 +0 -1.9 4
11 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 -1 -2.7 4
12 Twente 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.8 3
13 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.6 3
14 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 -4 -1.6 3
15 Utrecht 4 0 1 3 -9 -3.0 1
16 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.5 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -7 -3.9 0
18 Cambuur 3 0 0 3 -9 -3.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Heerenveen
Half-time 0–0
M. Lemmens 🔁
↦ J. Hoogma
46′
1–0 U. van Aalst
N. Tjoe a On
61′
P. van Loon 🔁
↦ E. Gurbuz
62′
64′
J. Trenskow 1–1
D. Vente
69′
🔁 L. Brouwers
↦ N. Courtens
69′
🔁 L. Smans
↦ R. Meerveld
77′
O. Braude 1–2
L. Smans
2–2 D. Haen
C. Twigt
82′
A. Ciranni 🔁
↦ N. Tjoe a On
85′
A. Et Taibi 🔁
↦ C. Twigt
85′
85′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ M. Rivera
T. Verheydt 🔁
↦ K. Boogaard
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
31 K. de Leeuw G
5 H. ter Avest D
3 F. Stam D
4 J. Hoogma D
24 N. Tjoe a On D
8 K. Boogaard M
6 C. Twigt M
50 E. Gurbuz M
19 U. van Aalst M
7 J. Slory M
9 D. Haen F
Bench (10)
21 W. van der Steen
41 T. Kotte
2 A. Ciranni
15 A. Et Taibi
83 M. Lemmens
14 J. Mathijsen
48 J. van Esdonk
40 D. Iglesias
22 P. van Loon
28 T. Verheydt

Coach: John Stegeman

Heerenveen

4-4-2
22 B. Klaverboer G
45 O. Braude D
4 S. Kersten D
3 M. Willemsen D
19 V. Zagaritis D
20 J. Trenskow M
36 N. Courtens M
6 D. Proper M
7 M. Rivera M
9 D. Vente F
10 R. Meerveld F
Bench (11)
44 A. Noppert
30 T. Schreuder
28 H. Petrov
17 N. Hopland
23 D. Bladi
8 L. Brouwers
14 L. Smans
41 J. Scholten
11 L. Oyen
29 L. Machine
47 K. Schaken

Coach: Robin Veldman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,77
U ✓
4,10
B
1,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jannick van der Laan · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.