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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Heerenveen
T S T U T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 24%
25%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 70%
50%
89%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 0,48
43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 15. · Sparta Rotterdam 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 +29 +15.7 30
2 Utrecht 8 7 1 0 +7 -0.7 22
3 Feyenoord 8 4 4 0 +11 +8.0 16
4 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +10 +10.7 16
5 Twente 9 4 3 2 +7 +10.6 15
6 NAC Breda 10 5 0 5 -4 -3.0 15
7 For Sittard 10 4 2 4 -4 +0.1 14
8 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 +3 +3.7 13
9 Go Ahead Eagles 9 4 1 4 -4 +5.6 13
10 Willem II 9 3 3 3 +2 -6.3 12
11 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 5 2 +0 +0.7 11
12 Nijmegen 10 3 1 6 +0 -2.7 10
13 Groningen 10 2 3 5 -2 -5.8 9
14 Heracles 9 2 3 4 -7 -7.8 9
15 Heerenveen 8 2 2 4 -2 +0.1 8
16 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 -10 -8.9 8
17 Almere City 10 1 3 6 -16 -6.5 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -20 -13.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 N. Hopland
M. Köhlert
4′
Paweł Bochniewicz 🟨
8′
Simon Olsson 🟨
9′
Half-time 1–0
I. Sebaoui 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
46′
2–0 J. Trenskow
A. Condé
58′
E. van Ee 🔁
↦ A. Condé
60′
Espen Van Ee 🟨
65′
71′
🟨 Marvin Young
72′
🔁 Kayky
↦ C. Neghli
72′
🔁 J. Baas
↦ M. Young
72′
🔁 S. Mito
↦ M. Nassoh
Luuk Brouwers 🟨
76′
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ I. Nicolăescu
76′
L. Smans 🔁
↦ S. Olsson
76′
83′
🔁 C. Brym
↦ P. Clement
D. Hall 🔁
↦ O. Braude
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
44 A. Noppert G
45 O. Braude D
17 N. Hopland D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
11 M. Köhlert D
6 A. Condé M
19 S. Olsson M
20 J. Trenskow M
8 L. Brouwers M
7 C. Nunnely M
18 I. Nicolăescu F
Bench (12)
10 I. Sebaoui
21 E. van Ee
26 D. Rallis
14 L. Smans
2 D. Hall
39 I. Ahmed
24 Danilo Al Saed
23 J. Bekkema
4 S. Kersten
9 D. Karlsbakk
22 B. Klaverboer
27 M. Milovanović

Coach: R. van Persie

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Bakari D
3 M. Young D
4 R. Meissen D
5 D. van der Kust D
6 J. Kitolano M
8 P. Clement M
7 C. Neghli M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 M. Nassoh M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (10)
18 Kayky
16 J. Baas
17 S. Mito
19 C. Brym
14 Metinho
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
30 K. Reitmaier
15 M. Kleijn
12 B. Reith
13 M. de Ligt

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,59
B
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.