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La Liga
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Levante
T T U S U
2–4
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,8
Scored
1,3
3,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,5
4,8
Scored
1,3
4,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,42 xG 2,58
25% Possession 75%
13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 13. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +15 +9.4 12
2 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 +10 +7.5 12
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +6 +2.7 10
4 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +2 -0.6 10
5 Betis 4 3 0 1 +0 -1.4 9
6 La Coruna 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.7 8
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +3 -1.4 7
8 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 -1.1 7
9 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.0 7
10 Santander 5 2 1 2 +0 +2.0 7
11 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
12 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 -3 +2.9 7
13 Levante 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.2 5
14 Celta 6 0 4 2 -3 -2.6 4
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -3 -3.1 4
16 Vallecano 5 1 1 3 -6 -5.0 4
17 Malaga 5 0 3 2 -6 -3.3 3
18 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 -2 +2.2 2
19 Elche 5 0 2 3 -7 -3.5 2
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 -9 +0.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Barcelona
5′
Xavi Espart 0–1
Raphael Dias Belloli
19′
Lamine Yamal 0–2
Raphael Dias Belloli
Daniel Requena Sánchez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
45′
🔁 Andreas Christensen
↦ Gerard Martín
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Gerard Martín
48′
Lamine Yamal 0–3
Hugo Sotelo 🟨
50′
Enzo Bardeli 🔁
↦ Jon Ander Olasagasti
59′
Oriol Rey 🔁
↦ Hugo Sotelo
60′
Iván Romero 🔁
↦ Petar Ratkov
60′
66′
🔁 Daniel Olmo Carvajal
↦ Lamine Yamal
66′
🔁 Marc Bernal
↦ Pedri
67′
🔁 Karim Adeyemi
↦ Anthony Gordon
Nacho Pérez Gómez 🔁
↦ Manu Sánchez
71′
Ifeanyi Ndukwe 🔁
↦ Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
71′
1–3 Iván Romero
79′
80′
🔁 João Cancelo
↦ Xavi Espart
2–3 Roger Brugué
88′
93′
Karim Adeyemi 2–4
Marc Bernal
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Levante

4-3-3
13 M. Ryan G
22 J. Toljan D
4 Dela D
2 A. Mandi D
23 Manu Sánchez D
6 Reque M
5 Hugo Sotelo M
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti M
7 Brugui F
10 P. Ratkov F
17 Víctor García F
Bench (12)
14 Jorge Cabello
16 A. Tape
18 E. Bardeli
27 Paco Cortés
1 Pablo Cuñat
24 T. Fernández
11 Yanis Musuayi
3 IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
29 Nacho Pérez
20 Oriol Rey
9 Iván Romero
33 M. Santos

Coach: Luís Castro

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Joan García G
24 Eric García D
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes D
18 Gerard Martín D
12 X. Espart D
7 Fermín M
16 Rodri M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal F
11 Raphinha F
17 A. Gordon F
Bench (12)
3 Alejandro Balde
22 Marc Bernal
2 João Cancelo
15 A. Christensen
9 Gabriel Jesus
6 Gavi
23 J. Koundé
25 D. Livaković
20 Dani Olmo
13 W. Szczęsny
29 H. Abdelkarim
14 K. Adeyemi

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
14,46
U
7,89
B ✓
1,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,06
U1,5
8,50
O2,5 ✓
1,25
U2,5
3,71
O3,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5
2,22
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,69
BLS nei
2,07

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.