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Champions League

Referee: Simone Sozza

Dortmund

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S U U T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,83 xG 1,34

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -25 Dortmund – Villarreal 4–0

Match report

Dortmund Villarreal

Ethan Nwaneri 🔁

↦ Konstantinos Karetsas

27′

Waldemar Anton 🟨

38′

🟨 Pau Navarro

42′

🟨 Sergi Cardona Bermúdez

45′

🔁 Alex Freeman

↦ Sergi Cardona Bermúdez

Half-time 0–1

0–1 Renato Veiga ⚽

own goal

53′

59′

🔁 Alberto Moleiro

↦ Tani Oluwaseyi

59′

🔁 Nicolas Pépé

↦ Nathan-Dylan Saliba

66′

⚽ Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González 0–2

Georges Mikautadze

75′

🔁 Alassane Diatta

↦ Tajon Buchanan

Jobe Bellingham 🔁

↦ Marcel Sabitzer

75′

Fábio Silva 🔁

↦ Felix Nmecha

75′

1–2 Serhou Guirassy ⚽

Fábio Silva

80′

Kauã Prates 🔁

↦ Maximilian Beier

82′

Carney Chukwuemeka 🔁

↦ Ethan Nwaneri

82′

83′

🔁 Gerard Moreno

↦ Pau Navarro

83′

🟨 Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González

2–2 Serhou Guirassy ⚽

85′

93′

⚽ Serhou Guirassy 3–2

own goal

Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-2-1

G. Kobel G

Kouakou Joane Gadou D

W. Anton D

D. Svensson D

J. Ryerson M

J. Veerman M

M. Sabitzer M

M. Beier M

K. Karetsas M

F. Nmecha M

S. Guirassy F

Bench (10)

41 M. Albert

7 J. Bellingham

17 C. Chukwuemeka

30 P. Drewes

40 S. Inacio

33 A. Meyer

18 E. Nwaneri

36 Kauã Prates

49 L. Reggiani

21 Fábio Silva

Coach: N. Kovač

Villarreal

4-4-2

P. Gulácsi G

S. Mouriño D

Pau Navarro D

Renato Veiga D

Sergi Cardona D

T. Buchanan M

P. Gueye M

N. Saliba M

Santi Comesaña M

T. Oluwaseyi F

G. Mikautadze F

Bench (11)

22 Ayoze Pérez

19 N. Pépé

7 Gerard Moreno

10 Alberto Moleiro

16 C. Macia

1 Luíz Júnior

13 Rubén Gómez

3 A. Freeman

5 A. Diatta

2 Logan Costa

11 Ilias Akhomach

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,80

🔒

Betano 1,90 Betfair 1,85 Superbet 1,85 1xBet 1,83 Pinnacle 1,83 Marathonbet 1,83 Unibet 1,80 BetVictor 1,80 Dafabet 1,79 SBO 1,78 10Bet 1,76 Bet365 1,75 888Sport 1,75 William Hill 1,75

4,00

🔒

1xBet 4,12 Dafabet 4,10 BetVictor 4,10 Marathonbet 4,10 Pinnacle 4,06 Betano 4,05 10Bet 4,00 Bet365 4,00 Superbet 4,00 Unibet 3,95 Betfair 3,90 888Sport 3,90 William Hill 3,90 SBO 3,85

4,00

🔒

1xBet 4,22 Dafabet 4,20 Pinnacle 4,17 Marathonbet 4,15 Unibet 4,10 Bet365 4,00 Betfair 4,00 10Bet 3,95 Betano 3,95 888Sport 3,90 BetVictor 3,90 William Hill 3,90 Superbet 3,85 SBO 3,65

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,14

🔒

Betano 1,15 10Bet 1,14 Bet365 1,14 888Sport 1,14 Superbet 1,14 Unibet 1,13 Betfair 1,11 BetVictor 1,11 Marathonbet 1,10 1xBet 1,09

U1,5

5,50

🔒

Unibet 6,00 Betfair 6,00 Superbet 5,75 BetVictor 5,75 10Bet 5,50 Bet365 5,50 888Sport 5,50 1xBet 5,45 Betano 5,40 Marathonbet 5,25

O2,5 ✓

1,45

🔒

Pinnacle 1,48 Superbet 1,48 Betano 1,47 Unibet 1,46 Marathonbet 1,46 10Bet 1,45 1xBet 1,44 Bet365 1,44 Betfair 1,44 888Sport 1,44 BetVictor 1,44

U2,5

2,67

🔒

Bet365 2,75 Betano 2,75 Unibet 2,75 Pinnacle 2,75 10Bet 2,70 Superbet 2,67 Betfair 2,63 888Sport 2,63 1xBet 2,62 Marathonbet 2,56 BetVictor 2,53

O3,5 ✓

2,17

🔒

Betfair 2,20 1xBet 2,18 Pinnacle 2,18 Marathonbet 2,18 SBO 2,17 Superbet 2,17 Betano 2,15 Unibet 2,15 888Sport 2,15 10Bet 2,10 Bet365 2,10 BetVictor 2,04

U3,5

1,70

🔒

1xBet 1,76 Betano 1,75 Pinnacle 1,74 SBO 1,73 Bet365 1,73 10Bet 1,70 Unibet 1,70 Superbet 1,70 Marathonbet 1,70 888Sport 1,67 BetVictor 1,67 Betfair 1,62

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,44

🔒