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La Liga
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
Malaga
U S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Levante
S T T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 19. · Levante 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +15 +9.4 12
2 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 +7 +6.1 9
3 Betis 4 3 0 1 +0 -1.4 9
4 La Coruna 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.7 8
5 Alaves 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.7 7
6 Osasuna 3 2 1 0 +2 +2.9 7
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.0 7
8 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 +1 -1.1 6
9 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.6 6
10 Levante 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.2 4
11 Santander 4 1 1 2 -1 +2.0 4
12 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 -3 -3.6 4
13 Sociedad 4 1 1 2 -3 -1.4 4
14 Espanol 3 1 0 2 +1 -1.4 3
15 Getafe 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.8 3
16 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 -2 +2.2 2
17 Celta 4 0 2 2 -3 -4.4 2
18 Elche 3 0 1 2 -6 -3.5 1
19 Malaga 3 0 1 2 -6 -1.9 1
20 Valencia 4 0 1 3 -8 +0.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Levante
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
penalty missed
9′
Dani Lorenzo 🟨
25′
Rafael Garrido Hierro 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
Pablo Martínez Andrés 🟨
46′
Izan Merino 🔁
↦ Pablo Martínez Andrés
59′
Joaquín Muñoz 🔁
↦ Juan Cruz
59′
60′
🔁 Yanis Musuayi
↦ Iván Romero
Carlos Puga 🔁
↦ Rafael Garrido Hierro
67′
Ramón Enríquez 🔁
↦ Dani Lorenzo
67′
70′
🟨 Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
77′
🔁 Hugo Sotelo
↦ Enzo Bardeli
77′
🔁 Jeremy Toljan
↦ Nacho Pérez Gómez
77′
🔁 Paco Cortés
↦ Thiago Cruz Fernandez
82′
🟨 Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
31 Rafita D
15 Ángel Recio D
4 Einar Galilea D
12 José Salinas D
10 David Larrubia M
18 Pablo Martínez M
22 Dani Lorenzo M
19 Juan Cruz M
8 Carlos Dotor F
9 Chupe F
Bench (11)
14 Rafa Rodríguez
3 Puga
5 Álex Pastor
11 Joaquín Muñoz
23 Izan Merino
13 Carlos López
17 Eneko Jauregi
6 Ramón Enríquez
2 J. Cajuste
25 Juan Berrocal
39 Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh

Coach: Funes

Levante

4-3-3
13 M. Ryan G
29 Nacho Pérez D
4 Dela D
2 A. Mandi D
23 Manu Sánchez D
18 E. Bardeli M
20 Oriol Rey M
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti M
7 Brugui F
9 Iván Romero F
24 T. Fernández F
Bench (12)
27 Paco Cortés
22 J. Toljan
1 Pablo Cuñat
17 Víctor García
11 Yanis Musuayi
3 IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
10 P. Ratkov
6 Reque
33 Marc Santos Gavilán
5 Hugo Sotelo
16 A. Tape
14 Jorge Cabello

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U ✓
3,25
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,28
U1,5 ✓
3,34
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,83
O3,5
3,14
U3,5 ✓
1,32
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,70
BLS nei ✓
2,05

Referee

Luis Bestard Servera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.