La Liga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Malaga
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +15 | +9.4 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | +6.1 | 9 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -1.4 | 9 |
| 4 |
La Coruna
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | -1.7 | 8 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +2.7 | 7 |
| 6 |
Osasuna
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +2.9 | 7 |
| 7 |
Ath Madrid
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | -2.0 | 7 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | -1.1 | 6 |
| 9 |
Sevilla
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 10 |
Levante
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | +0.2 | 4 |
| 11 |
Santander
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 | 4 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -3.6 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -1.4 | 4 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | -1.4 | 3 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -2.8 | 3 |
| 16 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +2.2 | 2 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -4.4 | 2 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | -3.5 | 1 |
| 19 |
Malaga
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | -1.9 | 1 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | +0.3 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Alfonso Herrero
G
Rafita
D
Ángel Recio
D
Einar Galilea
D
José Salinas
D
David Larrubia
M
Pablo Martínez
M
Dani Lorenzo
M
Juan Cruz
M
Carlos Dotor
F
Chupe
F
Coach: Funes
M. Ryan
G
Nacho Pérez
D
Dela
D
A. Mandi
D
Manu Sánchez
D
E. Bardeli
M
Oriol Rey
M
Jon Ander Olasagasti
M
Brugui
F
Iván Romero
F
T. Fernández
F
Coach: Luís Castro
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Malaga
Malaga
La Coruna
Ath Madrid
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Malaga
Almeria
Luis Bestard Servera · 11 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.