La Liga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +22 | +14.3 | 18 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | +10.4 | 15 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | +3.3 | 13 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | -0.6 | 13 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +0.3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +5 | +3.1 | 10 |
| 7 |
La Coruna
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | -1.6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Espanol
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | -1.5 | 7 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -1.1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Santander
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -2.8 | 7 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -5.0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Sociedad
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -3.2 | 7 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | -0.6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Levante
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -0.0 | 5 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -3.2 | 5 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -2.6 | 4 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | -0.1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Malaga
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | +0.6 | 2 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 | -6.3 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Vallés
G
Ángel Ortiz
D
Natan
D
V. Gómez
D
Junior Firpo
D
F. Bernal
M
N. Deossa
M
Antony
M
Isco
M
A. Ezzalzouli
M
T. Parrott
F
Coach: M. Pellegrini
David Soria
G
Andrés García
D
N. Gudelj
D
D. Dakonam
D
Z. Romero
D
Davinchi
D
Mario Martín
M
O. Mangala
M
Francho Serrano
M
Iván Azón
F
M. Satriano
F
Coach: Pepe Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Betis
Lille
Betis
Betis
Real Madrid
Levante
Betis
Valencia
Betis
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 118 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.