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La Liga

Referee: César Soto Grado

Getafe

T S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Celta

S U T T U

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

1,7

1,3

Scored

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,65 xG 1,03

30% Possession 70%

10 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Getafe 15. · Celta 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	+9.4	12
2	Alaves	4	3	1	0	+7	+2.7	10
3	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.1	9
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.4	9
5	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.7	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.6	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.0	7
8	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-1	+2.9	7
9	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
10	Levante	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
11	Espanol	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.4	4
12	Santander	4	1	1	2	-1	+2.0	4
13	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.6	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
15	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
16	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.2	2
17	Celta	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.4	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-6	-1.9	2
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-8	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
4	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
5	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
7	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
8	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
9	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
10	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
11	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
12	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
13	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
14	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
15	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
16	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
20	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+10	+3.7	6
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.8	4
3	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
5	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
7	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.5	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
9	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
10	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
11	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
13	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -26 Getafe – Celta 0–0 17. Aug -25 Celta – Getafe 0–2 24. May -25 Getafe – Celta 1–2 4. Nov -24 Celta – Getafe 1–0 11. Feb -24 Getafe – Celta 3–2

Match report

Getafe Celta

Andrés García 🔁

↦ Kiko Femenia

8′

1–0 Martin Satriano ⚽

21′

Half-time 1–0

Johan Mojica 🟨

51′

Zaid Romero 🟨

55′

57′

⚽ Carl Starfelt 1–1

Hugo González

64′

🔁 Javier Rueda García

↦ Javi Galán

64′

🔁 Sergio Carreira Vilarino

↦ Iago Aspas

64′

🔁 Couhaib Driouech

↦ Jones El-Abdellaoui

Zaid Romero 🟥

67′

69′

🔁 Borja Iglesias

↦ Pablo Durán Fernández

Iván Azón 🔁

↦ Martin Satriano

73′

77′

🟨 Carl Starfelt

83′

🔁 Ferran Jutglà

↦ Hugo González

Ramón Terrats 🟨

85′

🟨 Marcos Alonso

oscar lopez 🔁

↦ Ramón Terrats

94′

Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf 🔁

↦ Orel Mangala

94′

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Getafe

5-3-2

David Soria G

Kiko Femenía D

N. Gudelj D

D. Dakonam D

Z. Romero D

J. Mojica D

Ramón Terrats M

O. Mangala M

Mario Martín M

E. Ünal F

M. Satriano F

Bench (12)

26 J. Valou

30 O. Lopez

9 Borja Mayoral

3 Davinchi

15 S. Boselli

20 Iván Azón

27 Ebrahima Drammeh

35 Diego Ferrer

21 Andrés García

31 M. Hamdoune

1 J. Letáček

4 S. Sazonov

Coach: Pepe Bordalás

Celta

3-4-3

I. Radu G

Yoel Lago D

C. Starfelt D

Marcos Alonso D

J. El Abdellaoui M

I. Moriba M

Miguel Román M

Javi Galán M

Iago Aspas F

Pablo Durán F

Hugo González F

Bench (12)

5 Sergio Carreira

21 S. Cáceres

24 C. Driouech

7 Borja Iglesias

9 Ferran Jutglà

15 Álvaro Núñez

20 Javi Rodríguez

17 Javi Rueda

19 W. Swedberg

23 Hugo Álvarez

30 H. Burcio

1 A. Bayındır

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,40

🔒

1xBet 2,66 Betfair 2,63 Marathonbet 2,62 Betano 2,60 Pinnacle 2,60 Superbet 2,60 Bet365 2,55 BetVictor 2,55 SBO 2,54 10Bet 2,52 William Hill 2,50 Dafabet 2,48 Unibet 2,45

U ✓

2,86

🔒

1xBet 2,90 Dafabet 2,90 Marathonbet 2,86 Unibet 2,85 Pinnacle 2,82 Superbet 2,82 Bet365 2,80 BetVictor 2,80 Betano 2,77 10Bet 2,76 Betfair 2,75 William Hill 2,75 SBO 2,72

3,28

🔒

Pinnacle 3,43 Dafabet 3,40 1xBet 3,39 Unibet 3,35 Marathonbet 3,34 Bet365 3,30 Betfair 3,30 Superbet 3,30 Betano 3,25 BetVictor 3,25 10Bet 3,20 William Hill 3,20 SBO 3,14

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,70

🔒