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Coppa Italia
Referee: L Marinelli
Fiorentina
S T T T S
3–0
Full-time
Pisa
U T S S T
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
4,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 9. · Pisa 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Monza 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Udinese 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Verona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Venezia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Parma 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Torino 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Ascoli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Mantova 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Vicenza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Sudtirol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
24 Catania 2 0 1 1 -2 1
25 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Padova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Ravenna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Potenza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Union Brescia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Cesena 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Pisa
Franco Mastantuono 🟨
6′
35′
🟨 Felipe Loyola
1–0 Mateo Pellegrino
40′
Viery 🔁
↦ Radu Drăguşin
45′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera 🟨
55′
59′
🔁 Andrea Petagna
↦ Simone Zanon
59′
🔁 Stefano Moreo
↦ Emanuele Rao
59′
🔁 Samuele Angori
↦ Filippo Pittarello
Alieu Njie 🔁
↦ Marco Brescianini
60′
Pedro Goncalves 🔁
↦ Franco Mastantuono
60′
64′
🔁 Francesco Coppola
↦ Andrea Primasso
2–0 Wilfried Gnonto
Alieu Njie
71′
Álex Jiménez 🔁
↦ Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera
72′
75′
🔁 Daniel Denoon
↦ Mehdi Léris
Beto 🔁
↦ Mateo Pellegrino
83′
3–0 Pedro Goncalves
Álex Jiménez
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
43 David de Gea G
17 João Mário D
3 R. Drăgușin D
5 M. Pongračić D
21 Valde D
27 C. Ndour M
42 C. Inao Oulaï M
4 M. Brescianini M
30 Franco Mastantuono F
32 Mateo Pellegrino F
29 W. Gnonto F
Bench (10)
33 Viery
6 L. Ranieri
28 Pote
25 A. Njie
19 L. Lezzerini
20 Álex Jiménez
44 N. Fagioli
2 Dodô
53 O. Christensen
23 Beto

Coach: P. Vanoli

Pisa

3-4-2-1
1 S. Scuffet G
13 A. Primasso D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
72 S. Zanon M
36 G. Piccinini M
14 F. Loyola M
7 M. Léris M
11 I. Ferrah M
17 E. Rao M
8 F. Pittarello F
Bench (14)
3 S. Angori
33 A. Calabresi
98 A. Confente
26 F. Coppola
29 O. Correia
44 D. Denoon
24 J. Frosali
55 G. Leone
22 L. Loria
32 S. Moreo
37 A. Petagna
10 M. Tramoni
21 İ. Vural
19 Tomás Esteves

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
4,80
B
8,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
4,80
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,32
O3,5
2,41
U3,5 ✓
1,54
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,79
BLS nei ✓
1,91

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.