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Serie B
Referee: Andrea Calzavara
Carrarese
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Mantova
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,86 xG 1,17
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -26 Mantova – Carrarese 1–1 27. Dec -25 Carrarese – Mantova 0–0 9. May -25 Mantova – Carrarese 2–1 20. Oct -24 Carrarese – Mantova 1–1

Match report

Carrarese Mantova
10′
🟨 Bodin Tomašević
22′
⚽ F. Ruocco 0–1
E. Gliozzi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Meroni
↦ B. Tomasevic
Jonas Rouhi 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ J. Silva
T. Guercio 🔁
↦ Y. Khafi
59′
G. Marconi 🔁
↦ F. Abiuso
59′
61′
⚽ R. Ilie 0–2
A. Castellini
67′
🔁 F. Chinetti
↦ R. Ilie
67′
🔁 D. Bragantini
↦ F. Ruocco
P. Pinelli 🔁
↦ J. Rouhi
75′
1–2 P. Pinelli ⚽
M. Cisse
80′
N. Schiavi 🔁
↦ L. Romani
84′
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ F. Reale
84′
92′
🔁 F. Paoletti
↦
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-5-2
12 G. Garofani G
13 F. Ruggeri D
6 F. Oliana D
41 L. Romani D
7 N. Belloni M
77 G. Parlanti M
8 Y. Khafi M
33 F. Reale M
73 J. Rouhi M
9 F. Abiuso F
11 M. Cisse F
Bench (10)
19 V. Fiorillo
22 M. Bencaster
78 T. Guercio
56 N. Romagnoli
66 P. Pinelli
18 N. Schiavi
71 G. Baroncelli
32 M. Finotto
91 G. Marconi
25 F. Liberati

Coach: Gabriele Cioffi

Mantova

3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
5 B. Tomasevic D
29 S. Cella D
27 A. Castellini D
41 J. Silva M
21 S. Trimboli M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia M
8 R. Ilie F
19 F. Ruocco F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
1 L. Gemello
12 M. Gasparini
13 A. Meroni
6 J. Longonda
10 D. Wieser
20 F. Paoletti
18 S. Keita
71 F. Chinetti
11 I. Cajazzo
99 V. Vlahovic
30 D. Bragantini
33 C. Marai

Coach: Francesco Modesto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B ✓
3,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,95
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andrea Calzavara · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.