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Serie B

Referee: Mattia Drigo

Cesena

U T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Mantova

T S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 7. · Mantova 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.3	7
2	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.9	7
3	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
4	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
5	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
6	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.6	6
7	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
9	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
10	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
11	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
12	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
13	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.2	3
14	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.5	1
16	Benevento	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
17	Carrarese	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
18	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
19	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.4	6
2	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
3	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
4	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
9	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
10	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
11	Benevento	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
12	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
15	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Padova	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
9	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
10	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
11	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
14	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0
18	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.