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Serie B
Mantova
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T U T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mantova 4. · Sampdoria 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Palermo 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.0 9
2 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.3 8
3 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 +0.7 7
4 Mantova 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.1 7
5 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.9 7
6 Padova 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
7 Avellino 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.6 6
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 +0.3 6
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 +0 +1.3 6
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.6 6
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 -0.0 6
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 -2 -0.2 5
13 Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 +2.5 4
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 -0.2 4
15 Benevento 4 1 1 2 +0 +1.2 4
16 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.5 4
17 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 -0.7 4
18 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.0 3
19 Sampdoria 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.0 1
20 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 -0.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mantova Sampdoria
Fahem Benaissa Yahia 🟨
16′
28′
🟨 Lorenzo Insigne
Francesco Modesto 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Liam Henderson
45′
🔁 Oliver Abildgaard
↦ Tjas Begic
Half-time 0–0
Vanja Vlahovic 🔁
↦ Ettore Gliozzi
55′
Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo 🔁
↦ Lorenzo Ignacchiti
55′
57′
🔁 Tobias Lauritsen
↦ Gennaro Tutino
1–0 Francesco Ruocco
Alessio Castellini
58′
64′
Tobias Lauritsen
penalty missed
2–0 Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo
Rares Ilie
66′
Davide Bragantini 🔁
↦ Rares Ilie
72′
Ismael Cajazzo 🔁
↦ Francesco Ruocco
72′
72′
🔁 Yann Karamoh
↦ Liam Henderson
72′
🔁 Danel Sinani
↦ Lorenzo Insigne
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mantova

3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
5 B. Tomašević D
29 S. Cella D
27 A. Castellini D
41 Jonathan Silva M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
80 R. Kouda M
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia M
8 R. Ilie F
19 F. Galuppini F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
1 L. Gemello
71 Federico Chinetti
30 D. Bragantini
75 E. Košpo
58 Tommaso Del Lungo
11 I. Cajazzo
18 S. Keita
20 F. Paoletti
10 D. Wieser
6 J. Mboyo
99 V. Vlahović
7 M. Spinaccè

Coach: F. Modesto

Sampdoria

4-3-3
1 P. Vindahl G
29 A. Di Pardo D
3 S. Gartenmann D
15 F. Delli Carri D
7 M. Cicconi D
6 L. Henderson M
45 A. Makoumbou M
16 Y. Verschaeren M
11 T. Begić F
99 G. Tutino F
10 L. Insigne F
Bench (7)
14 Yann Karamoh
9 T. Lauritsen
43 K. Mbabu
25 A. Ferrari
13 L. Ravanelli
28 O. Abildgaard
20 D. Sinani

Coach: B. Corradi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,19
B
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,30
U1,5
3,20
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,68
O3,5
3,50
U3,5 ✓
1,27
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,75
BLS nei ✓
1,95

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.