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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Red Star

T T U S T

3–1

Full-time

Guingamp

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 44%

46%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 15. · Guingamp 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	24	15	4	5	+18	49
2	Paris FC	25	15	4	6	+16	49
3	Dunkerque	24	14	3	7	+11	45
4	Metz	24	12	8	4	+20	44
5	Guingamp	24	12	3	9	+10	39
6	Annecy	25	11	6	8	+0	39
7	Laval	25	10	7	8	+7	37
8	Grenoble	25	10	5	10	+1	35
9	Bastia	25	7	13	5	+5	34
10	Pau FC	25	8	9	8	-5	33
11	Troyes	25	9	3	13	+0	30
12	Ajaccio	24	9	3	12	-8	30
13	Amiens	24	9	3	12	-11	30
14	Rodez	24	7	6	11	+0	27
15	Red Star	24	7	5	12	-16	26
16	Clermont	25	6	7	12	-11	25
17	Martigues	25	7	3	15	-22	24
18	Caen	25	5	4	16	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	12	10	1	1	+18	31
2	Dunkerque	13	10	0	3	+11	30
3	Metz	13	8	4	1	+17	28
4	Paris FC	12	8	2	2	+10	26
5	Grenoble	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Amiens	12	7	2	3	+2	23
7	Bastia	12	5	7	0	+9	22
8	Annecy	12	7	1	4	+4	22
9	Pau FC	12	6	4	2	+3	22
10	Guingamp	12	6	2	4	+10	20
11	Ajaccio	12	6	2	4	+3	20
12	Laval	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Troyes	12	5	2	5	+4	17
14	Rodez	12	4	2	6	-3	14
15	Red Star	11	4	2	5	-6	14
16	Clermont	13	2	6	5	-1	12
17	Caen	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Martigues	13	2	1	10	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	13	7	2	4	+6	23
2	Laval	13	5	4	4	+4	19
3	Guingamp	12	6	1	5	+0	19
4	Lorient	12	5	3	4	+0	18
5	Annecy	13	4	5	4	-4	17
6	Martigues	12	5	2	5	-9	17
7	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Dunkerque	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Rodez	12	3	4	5	+3	13
10	Troyes	13	4	1	8	-4	13
11	Clermont	12	4	1	7	-10	13
12	Bastia	13	2	6	5	-4	12
13	Red Star	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Pau FC	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Grenoble	12	3	1	8	-7	10
16	Ajaccio	12	3	1	8	-11	10
17	Caen	12	2	1	9	-10	7
18	Amiens	12	2	1	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.