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Ligue 2

Referee: T Bouille

Red Star

S S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Guingamp

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/31 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 6. · Guingamp 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	31	18	7	6	+21	61
2	St Etienne	31	17	6	8	+20	57
3	Le Mans	31	15	12	4	+17	57
4	Reims	31	13	12	6	+16	51
5	Rodez	31	13	12	6	+4	51
6	Red Star	30	13	9	8	+5	48
7	Montpellier	31	13	8	10	+9	47
8	Annecy	31	13	7	11	+6	46
9	Pau FC	31	12	9	10	-6	45
10	Dunkerque	31	10	10	11	+6	40
11	Guingamp	31	10	10	11	-4	40
12	Boulogne	31	9	9	13	-9	36
13	Grenoble	31	6	14	11	-8	32
14	Clermont	31	7	9	15	-8	30
15	Nancy	31	7	9	15	-20	30
16	Laval	31	5	13	13	-15	28
17	Bastia	30	4	12	14	-15	24
18	Amiens	31	6	6	19	-19	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	13	1	2	+19	40
2	St Etienne	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Le Mans	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Reims	15	8	4	3	+10	28
5	Montpellier	16	8	4	4	+8	28
6	Rodez	16	7	7	2	+5	28
7	Annecy	15	6	6	3	+7	24
8	Red Star	15	6	6	3	-1	24
9	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Dunkerque	16	5	7	4	+6	22
11	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	-1	21
12	Pau FC	16	5	5	6	-4	20
13	Clermont	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Boulogne	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Nancy	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Bastia	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Laval	15	1	7	7	-9	10
18	Amiens	15	2	3	10	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Mans	15	6	7	2	+5	25
2	St Etienne	16	7	4	5	+1	25
3	Pau FC	15	7	4	4	-2	25
4	Red Star	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Reims	16	5	8	3	+6	23
6	Rodez	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Annecy	16	7	1	8	-1	22
8	Troyes	15	5	6	4	+2	21
9	Boulogne	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Montpellier	15	5	4	6	+1	19
11	Dunkerque	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Laval	16	4	6	6	-6	18
13	Guingamp	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	Nancy	15	3	6	6	-6	15
15	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
16	Clermont	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	Grenoble	16	2	5	9	-7	11
18	Bastia	15	1	7	7	-7	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.