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Ligue 2
Referee: Thomas Vincent
Boulogne
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Red Star
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,5
0,5
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 8
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 13. · Red Star 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Metz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nancy 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Red Star
3′
D. Durand 0–1
K. Cabral
Joffrey Bultel 🟨
17′
Demba Thiam 🟨
23′
26′
🟨 Jovany Ikanga
32′
🟨 Théo Magnin
Benjamin Besic 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Khaoui
↦ R. Hachem
1–1 A. Hbouch
52′
55′
🔁 K. Cisse
↦ M. Huard
55′
🔁 C. Konate
↦ J. Ikanga
M. Soumah 🔁
↦ B. Besic
74′
78′
🔁 S. Renel
↦ I. Halifa
Julien Boyer 🟨
84′
A. Pinot 🔁
↦ T. Brusco
88′
A. Nassiri 🔁
↦ T. Epailly
88′
91′
🟨 Cheick Konate
94′
🟨 Elyaz Zidane
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Boulogne

5-3-2
99 B. Noukeu G
21 A. Platret D
18 D. Thiam D
25 A. Kerriou D
20 T. Brusco D
12 J. Boyer D
14 J. Bultel M
19 N. Binet M
64 T. Epailly M
10 A. Hbouch F
17 B. Besic F
Bench (10)
1 X. Lenogue
15 A. Pinot
26 O. Lenne
4 J. Kapenga
28 S. Paillard
22 S. Duflos
36 M. Soumah
7 A. Nassiri
9 M. Lecolier
35 C. I. Dia

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Red Star

4-2-3-1
16 G. Poussin G
2 T. Magnin D
20 D. Durivaux D
15 E. Zidane D
3 M. Huard D
19 I. Halifa M
6 B. Danger M
23 J. Ikanga M
93 R. Hachem M
7 D. Durand M
91 K. Cabral F
Bench (7)
1 Y. Benchaouch
12 S. Guindo
11 K. Cisse
10 S. Khaoui
17 S. Renel
8 G. Trani
45 C. Konate

Coach: Damien Perrinelle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
U ✓
3,24
B
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.