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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Sochaux
S S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sochaux Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
21 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sochaux 17. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Metz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nancy 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sochaux Guingamp
1–0 B. Fofana
S. Agouzoul
14′
19′
🟨 Adrián Ortolá
Samy Baghdadi
penalty missed
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Muntu Wa Mungu
↦ E. Koffi
Élie N'Gatta 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Donatien Gomis
59′
🔁 T. Ahile
↦ T. Ducrocq
59′
🔁 S. Ben Brahim
↦ T. Averlant
66′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
D. Tavares 🔁
↦ B. Fofana
68′
B. Diawara 🔁
↦ S. Baghdadi
68′
71′
🔁 J. Chamakh
↦ D. Louiserre
71′
🔁 A. Samoura
↦ F. Sanchez Da Silva
72′
🟨 Albin Demouchy
K. Djoco 🔁
↦ M. Clairicia
76′
N. K. Mouyema 🔁
↦ S. Agouzoul
78′
93′
🟨 Jasser Chamakh
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sochaux

4-2-3-1
40 M. Jeannin G
26 E. N'Gatta D
14 M. Peybernes D
97 S. Agouzoul D
3 D. Gomis
15 J. Mexique M
23 J. Masson M
77 L. Nomel M
5 S. Baghdadi M
10 B. Fofana M
91 M. Clairicia F
Bench (9)
16 M. Schubler-Lecart
30 A. Pierre
42 D. Tavares
25 P. Diop
21 B. Diawara
2 M. Toure
92 P. Monthieu
9 K. Djoco
33 N. K. Mouyema

Coach: Vincent Hognon

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
3 J. Matumona D
11 T. Averlant M
4 D. Louiserre M
25 T. Ducrocq M
8 F. Sanchez Da Silva M
10 A. Hemia F
18 S. Kielt F
Bench (9)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
39 V. Muntu Wa Mungu
24 J. Dianganga
23 J. Chamakh
21 T. Ahile
38 E. Aucan
32 I. Diakite
20 S. Ben Brahim
17 A. Samoura

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
U
3,23
B
2,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.