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Ligue 2

Referee: Mickael Leleu

Guingamp

T T T S T

3–3

Full-time

Nantes

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 20

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 14. · Nantes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Reims	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Rodez	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Nancy	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Annecy	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Metz	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Red Star	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Sochaux	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Dunkerque	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Grenoble	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Laval	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Boulogne	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Clermont	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Dijon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Nantes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Metz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Clermont	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Laval	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Boulogne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Red Star	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pau FC	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Reims	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Rodez	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Annecy	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Dijon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sochaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Boulogne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Laval	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.