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Ligue 2

Referee: R Chapapria

Guingamp

U T T S S

3–4

Full-time

Red Star

U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 1. · Red Star 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Metz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Martigues	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Ajaccio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Grenoble	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Laval	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Dunkerque	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.