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Ligue 2
Red Star
S U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Metz
S U U U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
26 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Red Star 9. · Metz 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 +6 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Annecy 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Metz 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Sochaux 6 2 3 1 -1 9
7 Dunkerque 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Red Star 5 2 2 1 -1 8
10 Nancy 6 2 1 3 +0 7
11 Rodez 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Dijon 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 -1 5
15 Pau FC 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Clermont 6 0 5 1 -2 5
17 Nantes 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Red Star Metz
Samuel Renel 🟨
37′
45′
🔁 Florian Miguel
↦ Maxime Colin
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
58′
Kevin Cabral 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 Nathan Mbala
↦ Jahyann Pandore
61′
🔁 Ibou Sane
↦ Jessy Deminguet
Bradley Danger 🔁
↦ Samuel Renel
67′
Damien Durand 🔁
↦ Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
68′
Idrissa Sabaly 🔁
↦ Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
68′
Godson Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Kémo Cissé
77′
78′
🔁 Nampalys Mendy
↦ Teji Savanier
78′
🔁 Abdoulaye Agne Ba
↦ Giorgi Abuashvili
Josué Escartin 🔁
↦ Islamdine Halifa
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Red Star

4-2-3-1
16 G. Poussin G
2 T. Magnin D
20 D. Durivaux D
4 E. Zidane D
3 M. Huard D
19 I. Halifa M
17 S. Renel M
11 K. Cissé M
10 S. Khaoui M
23 J. Ikanga A Ngele M
91 K. Cabral F
Bench (8)
5 J. Escartin
45 Cheick Konate
21 Idrissa Sabaly
25 G. Trani
27 G. Kyeremeh
7 D. Durand
6 B. Danger
1 Yanis Benchaouch Marty

Coach: D. Perrinelle

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Fischer G
70 B. Sarr D
42 C. Devenish D
4 U. Mboula D
2 M. Colin D
8 J. Deminguet M
18 B. Munongo M
9 G. Abuashvili M
10 T. Savanier M
21 J. Pandore M
11 P. Fall F
Bench (9)
88 A. Agne Ba
22 N. Mbala
33 Abdourahmane Mbodj
6 N. Mendy
3 F. Miguel
5 J. Ruiz
7 Ibou Sané
39 B. Song
61 P. Sy

Coach: L. Holtz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,22
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,25
U1,5 ✓
3,60
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,82
O3,5
3,10
U3,5 ✓
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,62
BLS nei ✓
2,15

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.