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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Lillestrom

U S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Valerenga

T U S T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

6,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

47%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

6 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 5. · Valerenga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	15	2	2	+34	+27.3	47
2	Viking	19	14	2	3	+24	+15.7	44
3	Tromso	19	10	5	4	+12	+7.2	35
4	Molde	19	10	3	6	+9	+11.5	33
5	Lillestrom	19	9	2	8	+0	+3.9	29
6	Rosenborg	19	8	3	8	+5	-1.6	27
7	Brann	19	8	2	9	+8	+1.9	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	8	2	9	-7	-9.7	26
9	Sarpsborg 08	19	6	6	7	-3	-0.3	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	6	5	8	-10	-5.4	23
11	Valerenga	19	6	4	9	-7	-3.3	22
12	Sandefjord	19	5	5	9	-8	-9.1	20
13	Kristiansund	19	5	4	10	-10	-10.2	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	5	4	10	-13	-11.4	19
15	Aalesund	19	3	9	7	-13	-12.8	18
16	Start	19	3	4	12	-21	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	8	0	1	+24	+20.9	24
2	Viking	8	8	0	0	+18	+8.5	24
3	Molde	10	7	1	2	+12	+6.0	22
4	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+11	+10.8	21
5	Rosenborg	10	6	2	2	+12	+4.7	20
6	Ham-Kam	9	5	2	2	+2	-2.2	17
7	Fredrikstad	9	5	1	3	+2	-1.3	16
8	Brann	10	5	0	5	+3	+4.6	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	3	2	+2	+2.8	15
10	Kristiansund	9	4	2	3	+1	-6.6	14
11	KFUM Oslo	10	4	2	4	-1	-7.1	14
12	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	+1	-2.0	13
13	Lillestrom	9	4	0	5	+0	+3.9	12
14	Aalesund	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.1	12
15	Sandefjord	10	2	5	3	-3	-4.8	11
16	Start	9	2	3	4	-5	+1.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+10	+6.4	23
2	Viking	11	6	2	3	+6	+7.2	20
3	Lillestrom	10	5	2	3	+0	-0.0	17
4	Tromso	9	4	2	3	+1	-3.6	14
5	Brann	9	3	2	4	+5	-2.8	11
6	Molde	9	3	2	4	-3	+5.5	11
7	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	-9	-8.4	10
8	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
9	Sandefjord	9	3	0	6	-5	-4.3	9
10	Valerenga	9	2	3	4	-8	-1.4	9
11	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.3	7
12	Aalesund	8	1	3	4	-9	-10.7	6
13	Ham-Kam	10	1	3	6	-12	-3.2	6
14	Kristiansund	10	1	2	7	-11	-3.6	5
15	KFUM Oslo	9	1	2	6	-12	-4.3	5
16	Start	10	1	1	8	-16	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.