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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Sarpsborg 08

U T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Valerenga

T T U S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

6,2

Scored

1,3

3,2

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

61%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,4

3,8

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

19 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Valerenga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	15	2	2	+34	+27.3	47
2	Viking	19	14	2	3	+24	+15.7	44
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	+14	+7.2	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	+7	+11.5	30
5	Lillestrom	19	9	2	8	+0	+3.9	29
6	Rosenborg	19	8	3	8	+5	-1.6	27
7	Brann	19	8	2	9	+8	+1.9	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	8	2	9	-7	-9.7	26
9	Sarpsborg 08	18	6	5	7	-3	-0.3	23
10	Ham-Kam	19	6	5	8	-10	-5.4	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	-7	-3.3	21
12	Sandefjord	19	5	5	9	-8	-9.1	20
13	KFUM Oslo	18	5	4	9	-11	-11.4	19
14	Aalesund	19	3	9	7	-13	-12.8	18
15	Kristiansund	18	4	4	10	-12	-10.2	16
16	Start	19	3	4	12	-21	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	8	0	1	+24	+20.9	24
2	Viking	8	8	0	0	+18	+8.5	24
3	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+11	+10.8	21
4	Rosenborg	10	6	2	2	+12	+4.7	20
5	Molde	9	6	1	2	+10	+6.0	19
6	Ham-Kam	9	5	2	2	+2	-2.2	17
7	Fredrikstad	9	5	1	3	+2	-1.3	16
8	Brann	10	5	0	5	+3	+4.6	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	2	2	+2	+2.8	14
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	2	4	-1	-7.1	14
11	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	+1	-2.0	13
12	Lillestrom	9	4	0	5	+0	+3.9	12
13	Aalesund	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.1	12
14	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.6	11
15	Sandefjord	10	2	5	3	-3	-4.8	11
16	Start	9	2	3	4	-5	+1.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+10	+6.4	23
2	Viking	11	6	2	3	+6	+7.2	20
3	Lillestrom	10	5	2	3	+0	-0.0	17
4	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	-3.6	14
5	Brann	9	3	2	4	+5	-2.8	11
6	Molde	9	3	2	4	-3	+5.5	11
7	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	-9	-8.4	10
8	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
9	Sandefjord	9	3	0	6	-5	-4.3	9
10	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-8	-1.4	8
11	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.3	7
12	Aalesund	8	1	3	4	-9	-10.7	6
13	Ham-Kam	10	1	3	6	-12	-3.2	6
14	KFUM Oslo	8	1	2	5	-10	-4.3	5
15	Kristiansund	10	1	2	7	-11	-3.6	5
16	Start	10	1	1	8	-16	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.