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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Fredrikstad

S S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Valerenga

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,29 xG 1,42

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 6. · Valerenga 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.8	6
3	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
4	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
5	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+4	+0.8	3
6	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.8	3
7	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
9	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
10	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
11	Brann	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.3	3
12	Tromso	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.0	3
13	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.1	3
14	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
15	Molde	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-6	-5.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
2	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.8	3
4	Viking	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
6	Brann	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
7	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
8	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
10	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
11	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.6	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.6	3
2	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Valerenga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
6	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
7	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
8	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Viking	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
12	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
16	Brann	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.