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NM-cupen
2–7
Full-time
Valerenga
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rana 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +13 3
3 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +12 3
4 Molde 1 1 0 0 +11 3
5 Odd 1 1 0 0 +10 3
6 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
7 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +8 3
8 Levanger 1 1 0 0 +8 3
9 Asker 1 1 0 0 +7 3
10 Træff 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Ranheim 1 1 0 0 +6 3
14 Eidsvold 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Gamle Oslo 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +5 3
17 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
18 Brattvåg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Grorud 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Arendal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Bærum 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Kjelsås 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Notodden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +4 3
26 Lyn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
27 Djerv 1 1 0 0 +4 3
28 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Hønefoss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Moss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Stjørdals-Blink 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Pors Grenland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Trygg/Lade 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Førde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Strommen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Bjarg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Os 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Elverum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Haugesund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Madla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Alta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Follo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 hodd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Vindbjart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Start 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Tromsdalen Uil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Asane 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Fram 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Flekkefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Arna-Bjørnar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Stalkam 2 0 0 2 -2 0
66 Floro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Lysekloster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Heming 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Sparta Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Våg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Urædd 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Tynset 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Volda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Froland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 Mjondalen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 IF Ready 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Nord 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Drøbak / Frogn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Trønder-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Eidsvold IF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
94 Frøya 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Steinkjer 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -7 0
97 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -8 0
100 National Kameratene 1 0 0 1 -9 0
101 Teie 1 0 0 1 -10 0
102 Midsund 1 0 0 1 -11 0
103 Skreia 1 0 0 1 -12 0
104 Langevag 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Christiania BK Valerenga
2′
L. Haren 0–1
G. Zahid
3′
O. Saeter 0–2
M. Westergaard
32′
O. Saeter 0–3
K. Finnsson
Half-time 0–4
49′
A. Olsen 0–4
1–4 A. Labib
A. M. Gutale
71′
78′
G. Rajkovic 1–5
A. Jatta
80′
P. Meliga 1–6
H. Bjordal
2–6 D. Sereba
87′
90′
A. Jatta 2–7
Full-time 2–7

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.