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Eliteserien

Referee: Christian Moen

Valerenga

S T T U S

3–4

Full-time

Molde

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

6,2

5,7

Scored

3,7

3,8

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

35%

47%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

59%

65%

Both score Ø 62%

53%

71%

Average goals

3,6

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–4

1,82 xG 1,73

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 9

9 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 11. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	+33	+27.3	44
2	Viking	17	13	1	3	+23	+14.1	40
3	Tromso	17	10	4	3	+14	+6.3	34
4	Molde	17	8	3	6	+6	+11.6	27
5	Lillestrom	17	8	2	7	+2	+4.7	26
6	Brann	17	8	1	8	+9	+2.1	25
7	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	+1	-1.6	24
8	Fredrikstad	17	7	2	8	-9	-10.4	23
9	Sarpsborg 08	17	6	4	7	-3	+0.6	22
10	Ham-Kam	17	6	4	7	-6	-5.0	22
11	Valerenga	17	6	3	8	-6	-3.4	21
12	KFUM Oslo	17	5	4	8	-8	-9.7	19
13	Sandefjord	17	5	3	9	-8	-9.3	18
14	Kristiansund	17	4	3	10	-12	-10.6	15
15	Aalesund	17	2	9	6	-14	-11.2	15
16	Start	17	2	4	11	-22	-5.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	8	0	1	+24	+20.9	24
2	Viking	7	7	0	0	+17	+6.9	21
3	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
4	Molde	9	6	1	2	+10	+6.0	19
5	Rosenborg	9	5	2	2	+8	+4.7	17
6	Fredrikstad	8	5	1	2	+3	-1.3	16
7	Ham-Kam	8	5	1	2	+2	-1.8	16
8	Brann	9	5	0	4	+4	+4.6	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	2	2	+2	+2.8	14
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	2	4	-1	-7.1	14
11	Valerenga	9	4	1	4	+2	-2.1	13
12	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+3	+4.7	12
13	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.6	11
14	Sandefjord	8	2	3	3	-3	-5.0	9
15	Aalesund	10	1	6	3	-6	-2.1	9
16	Start	8	1	3	4	-8	+0.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.4	20
2	Viking	10	6	1	3	+6	+7.2	19
3	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	-3.6	14
4	Lillestrom	9	4	2	3	-1	-0.0	14
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Sandefjord	9	3	0	6	-5	-4.3	9
7	Molde	8	2	2	4	-4	+5.5	8
8	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	2	5	-5	-2.2	8
9	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-8	-1.4	8
10	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.3	7
11	Fredrikstad	9	2	1	6	-12	-9.2	7
12	Ham-Kam	9	1	3	5	-8	-3.2	6
13	Aalesund	7	1	3	3	-8	-9.1	6
14	KFUM Oslo	7	1	2	4	-7	-2.5	5
15	Kristiansund	9	1	1	7	-11	-4.0	4
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.