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Eliteserien

Referee: S Sinnes

Molde

S S T U S

0–0

Full-time

Valerenga

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 40%

56%

24%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

67%

65%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

65%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,71 xG 0,24

70% Possession 30%

16 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 4. · Valerenga 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	13	2	3	+24	+6.8	41
2	Viking	18	13	2	3	+17	+2.6	41
3	Tromso	17	11	3	3	+11	+1.4	36
4	Molde	18	10	3	5	+20	+8.1	33
5	Brann	18	9	3	6	+7	-2.9	30
6	Lillestrom	18	9	2	7	+5	+4.2	29
7	Odd	18	7	4	7	+2	+1.7	25
8	Rosenborg	18	7	4	7	-2	+1.3	25
9	Sarpsborg 08	18	7	3	8	-3	+0.1	24
10	Stromsgodset	18	7	2	9	-1	-3.9	23
11	Haugesund	18	5	4	9	-9	-2.7	19
12	Ham-Kam	18	6	1	11	-17	-6.3	19
13	Sandefjord	17	4	5	8	-8	-9.9	17
14	Stabaek	17	4	4	9	-12	+0.8	16
15	Valerenga	17	4	3	10	-8	-2.1	15
16	Aalesund	18	3	1	14	-26	+0.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	7	1	1	+13	+0.5	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	-0.5	20
4	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
5	Lillestrom	10	6	0	4	+7	+3.3	18
6	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+5	+3.1	17
7	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
8	Odd	8	4	2	2	+5	+2.9	14
9	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+2	-0.8	14
10	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	+3	-0.5	13
11	Ham-Kam	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
12	Sandefjord	8	3	3	2	+7	-5.4	12
13	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
14	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
15	Aalesund	10	3	1	6	-8	+2.5	10
16	Valerenga	9	1	1	7	-9	+0.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	0	2	+11	+4.4	21
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	9	6	1	2	+4	+2.1	19
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+5	+3.6	14
5	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-2.3	11
6	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	-2	+0.9	11
7	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-3	-2.7	11
8	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	2	4	-6	+0.5	11
10	Brann	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.3	10
11	Rosenborg	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.1	9
12	Ham-Kam	9	2	0	7	-15	-2.8	6
13	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-11	-1.9	5
14	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
15	Stabaek	8	1	1	6	-14	+1.9	4
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.