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Ligue 1

Referee: Romain Lissorgue

Rennes

S T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Le Mans

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Le Mans

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,12 xG 3,06

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rennes 12. · Le Mans 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
2	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
4	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
5	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
6	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.7	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
9	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
10	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
11	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
13	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.2	1
17	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
2	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
5	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
6	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
12	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
13	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
15	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.