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Eliteserien

Referee: Sivert Amland

Valerenga

S T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Bodo/Glimt

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Bodo/Glimt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 58%

40%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

69%

Both score Ø 36%

47%

25%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,6

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,22 xG 1,90

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Bodo/Glimt 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	12	2	2	+30	+24.8	38
2	Viking	15	12	1	2	+23	+12.7	37
3	Tromso	16	10	4	2	+15	+8.1	34
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	+4	+3.6	25
5	Molde	15	7	3	5	+6	+7.3	24
6	Brann	16	7	1	8	+6	-0.4	22
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	-1	+0.6	22
8	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	-3	-3.5	21
9	Valerenga	15	6	2	7	-5	-3.6	20
10	Rosenborg	15	5	3	7	+0	+1.2	18
11	KFUM Oslo	16	5	3	8	-8	-8.8	18
12	Fredrikstad	15	5	2	8	-11	-10.0	17
13	Sandefjord	16	4	3	9	-9	-8.5	15
14	Aalesund	15	2	7	6	-14	-9.3	13
15	Kristiansund	15	3	3	9	-12	-8.3	12
16	Start	16	2	4	10	-21	-5.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+22	+19.1	21
2	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	8	5	1	2	+9	+4.2	16
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Rosenborg	8	4	2	2	+7	+5.3	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.1	14
8	Valerenga	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.4	13
9	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+2	-1.1	13
10	KFUM Oslo	9	4	1	4	-1	-6.3	13
11	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
12	Brann	8	4	0	4	+1	+2.1	12
13	Sandefjord	8	2	3	3	-3	-5.0	9
14	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
15	Aalesund	9	1	5	3	-6	-1.2	8
16	Start	7	1	3	3	-7	-0.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	1	2	+7	+6.6	19
2	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+8	+5.7	17
3	Tromso	7	4	2	1	+4	-1.8	14
4	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	-1	-0.8	13
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	2	4	-4	-1.4	8
8	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
9	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-5	-0.7	6
10	Sandefjord	8	2	0	6	-6	-3.5	6
11	KFUM Oslo	7	1	2	4	-7	-2.5	5
12	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
13	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-7	-4.2	4
14	Kristiansund	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.2	4
15	Fredrikstad	8	1	1	6	-13	-9.0	4
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.