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Super League

Referee: Sven Wolfensberger

Sion

U S S T T

1–2

Full-time

Lugano

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,8

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,7

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

4,3

Scored

2,7

3,7

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,82 xG 0,67

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sion 5. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+10	+4.8	11
2	Basel	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
3	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
4	St. Gallen	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.6	7
5	Sion	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
6	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.9	6
7	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.5	5
8	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.1	5
9	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
10	Thun	3	1	0	2	-6	-4.1	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
12	Vaduz	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Sion	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.4	6
4	St. Gallen	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
5	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
6	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
7	Zurich	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
10	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
2	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.3	4
3	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Thun	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.