Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Aris
OFI Crete
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
The table before the match Aris 6. · OFI Crete 4. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Panetolikos
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +0.8 | 6 |
| 2 |
PAOK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.6 | 3 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.7 | 3 |
| 4 |
OFI Crete
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 7 |
Olympiakos
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 8 |
Volos NFC
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 9 |
Iraklis
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | -2.4 | 1 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 11 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.7 | 0 |
| 12 |
Kalamata
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -2.7 | 0 |
| 13 |
Levadeiakos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -1.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.