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Superligaen

Referee: Mikkel Redder

Nordsjaelland

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Brondby

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 78%

75%

80%

Points per game

2,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

25%

40%

Both score Ø 43%

25%

60%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,32 xG 1,76

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 4. · Brondby 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	6	4	1	1	+6	+3.2	13
2	Brondby	5	4	1	0	+6	+0.1	13
3	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.0	11
4	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+5	+6.9	10
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
6	Horsens	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.6	7
7	Randers FC	6	2	1	3	-3	-5.0	7
8	Odense	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.0	5
9	Silkeborg	6	1	2	3	-4	-3.4	5
10	Aarhus	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.2	3
11	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	-4	+3.9	3
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.1	9
2	Brondby	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.8	9
3	Randers FC	4	2	1	1	-1	-2.2	7
4	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
5	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+2	+5.1	6
6	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.3	4
7	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
8	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
9	Lyngby	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.0	3
10	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
11	Aarhus	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.1	6
2	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
3	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.8	4
4	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
5	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.1	4
6	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
7	Odense	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.3	2
8	Aarhus	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.4	1
9	Silkeborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Randers FC	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-4	+2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.