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Serie B

Referee: Mario Perri

Benevento

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,7

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

2,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,23 xG 0,56

51% Possession 49%

24 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 17. · Sudtirol 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
3	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
4	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
5	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
6	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
7	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
8	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
10	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.6	3
12	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.2	3
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
14	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.5	1
15	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
2	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Ascoli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
9	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
10	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Padova	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
9	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
13	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.