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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

St. Gallen

S U S T T

3–4

Full-time

Thun

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

5,2

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,7

3,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

5,3

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

3,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,88 xG 1,26

68% Possession 32%

25 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Thun 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	4	4	0	0	+10	+1.6	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+10	+4.8	11
3	Basel	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
4	St. Gallen	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.6	7
5	Sion	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.1	6
6	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.9	6
7	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.5	5
8	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.1	5
9	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
10	Thun	3	1	0	2	-6	-4.1	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
12	Vaduz	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Sion	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
4	St. Gallen	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
5	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
6	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
7	Zurich	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
10	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.9	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.3	4
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Thun	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.