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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz

Rakow

U S T U T

2–5

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,29 xG 4,44

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 18. · Jagiellonia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.8	12
2	Wisla	6	3	1	2	+2	+4.3	10
3	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	-1.7	9
4	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-1.1	8
5	Korona Kielce	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.7	8
6	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.6	8
7	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-1	+3.2	8
8	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
9	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	-3	-3.6	7
10	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.0	7
11	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	+5	-1.0	6
12	Widzew Lodz	5	1	3	1	+1	+1.0	6
13	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
14	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.6	6
15	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.3	5
16	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	-7	-0.9	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.9	3
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.1	9
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+7	+2.0	7
3	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
4	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.5	7
5	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.0	6
7	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.2	6
8	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.8	5
9	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
10	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
11	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
13	Motor Lublin	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.4	3
14	Korona Kielce	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
15	Widzew Lodz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
16	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.9	6
2	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
3	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
4	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
7	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
9	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.6	3
10	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.1	3
11	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
12	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.7	2
13	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.2	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
15	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
16	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
17	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.4	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.