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Super League

Referee: Fotios Polychronis

Asteras Tripolis

U S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Olympiakos

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 1,70

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 11. · Olympiakos 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.9	6
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
4	Aris	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
5	AEK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
6	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
7	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.1	3
8	Volos NFC	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.2	1
9	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
10	Atromitos	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
11	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
12	Kalamata	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.7	0
13	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
2	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
3	AEK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
4	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
8	Volos NFC	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
10	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
2	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
3	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
5	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
6	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
7	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
8	Kalamata	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
9	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
10	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.