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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Molde
U T S U T
3–2
Full-time
Tromso
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
2,2
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 54%
44%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
69%
38%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,43 xG 0,65
55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 5. · Tromso 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 +31 +25.5 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 +23 +14.1 40
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 +15 +8.1 34
4 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 +2 +4.7 26
5 Molde 16 7 3 6 +5 +9.8 24
6 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 +3 +0.3 24
7 Brann 16 7 1 8 +6 -0.4 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 4 6 -2 -0.2 22
9 Ham-Kam 16 6 4 6 -3 -2.5 22
10 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 -6 -3.4 21
11 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 -10 -10.2 20
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 -8 -9.7 19
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 -9 -8.5 15
14 Kristiansund 16 4 3 9 -11 -10.8 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 -14 -11.2 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 -22 -5.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Tromso
31′
🔁 O. Lauvli
↦ J. Haugaard
Mathias Løvik 🟨
35′
1–0 E. Hestad
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Ieltsin Camoes
↦ L. O. Larsen
Sondre Milian Granaas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
Sondre Milian Granaas 🟨
50′
53′
H. Larsen 1–1
T. Nyhammer
2–1 O. Spiten-Nysaeter
J. Abdullai
55′
Jalal Abdullai 🟨
60′
70′
🔁 S. Innvaer
↦ I. Dahlqvist
V. Bender 🔁
↦ D. Daga
74′
S. Kabini 🔁
↦ M. Lovik
75′
T. Kone-Doherty 🔁
↦ J. Abdullai
75′
84′
🟨 Heine Asen Larsen
85′
🔁 C. Oyvann
↦ L. Hien
85′
🔁 D. Braut
↦ T. Nyhammer
Martin Linnes 🟨
87′
3–1 T. Kone-Doherty
90′
90′
Ieltsin Camoes 3–2
S. Innvaer
E. Haugan 🔁
↦ M. Linnes
94′
C. Zady 🔁
↦ O. Spiten-Nysaeter
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
22 A. Posiadala G
25 M. Linnes D
4 S. Hansen D
33 B. Risa D
8 M. Lovik D
10 E. Breivik M
30 D. Daga M
5 E. Hestad M
23 S. Granaas M
21 O. Spiten-Nysaeter M
9 J. Abdullai F
Bench (9)
12 P. Lervik
19 E. Haugan
45 N. L. Bye
26 S. Kabini
17 M. Daehli
11 C. Zady
28 V. Bender
24 T. Kone-Doherty
44 I. Gosik

Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland

Tromso

5-3-2
1 J. Haugaard G
17 I. Dahlqvist D
30 I. Vadebu D
21 L. Hien D
3 M. Tonnessen D
29 A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd D
5 D. Edvardsson M
11 R. Jenssen M
7 L. O. Larsen M
10 T. Nyhammer F
22 H. Larsen F
Bench (9)
12 O. Lauvli
25 C. Oyvann
27 M. Mikkelsen
37 S. Innvaer
8 J. Grundt
15 V. Ekblom
9 D. Braut
20 Ieltsin Camoes
19 A. L. Elvebu

Coach: Jorgen Vik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.