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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Brann

T T S S U

2–3

Full-time

Valerenga

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

86%

46%

Both score Ø 66%

86%

46%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

2,46 xG 2,91

71% Possession 29%

16 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 12

6 Blocked shots 4

9 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Brann 6. · Valerenga 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	11	0	2	+20	+12.7	33
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	2	2	+23	+20.3	32
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	+8	+5.5	25
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	+4	+2.6	20
6	Brann	14	6	1	7	+6	+1.2	19
7	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-2	+1.3	18
8	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-5	-4.2	18
9	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	-3	-3.3	17
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.0	15
11	Sandefjord	13	4	3	6	-4	-4.6	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
13	KFUM Oslo	13	3	3	7	-8	-5.4	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	-10	-9.6	12
15	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-11	-8.6	12
16	Start	15	2	4	9	-18	-6.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+18	+17.2	18
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
7	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
8	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.0	11
10	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
11	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
12	Brann	6	3	0	3	+1	+3.8	9
13	Sandefjord	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.6	9
14	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	6	1	3	2	-4	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	0	2	+4	+6.5	15
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
3	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
7	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.0	6
8	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
9	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
10	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
11	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
12	Valerenga	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.7	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4
15	Ham-Kam	6	0	3	3	-7	-1.3	3
16	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.