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Super League
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Aris Thessalonikis
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 1,34
42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 23
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · OFI Crete 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Panetolikos 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.8 6
2 Aris 2 2 0 0 +2 – 6
3 PAOK 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.6 3
4 AEK 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.7 3
5 Aris Thessalonikis 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.3 3
6 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.5 3
7 Olympiakos 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.9 3
8 Volos NFC 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.2 1
9 Iraklis 2 0 1 1 -4 -2.4 1
10 Atromitos 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.9 0
11 Asteras Tripolis 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0
12 Kalamata 3 0 0 3 -4 -2.7 0
13 Levadeiakos 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -26 Aris Thessalonikis – OFI Crete 3–1 3. May -26 OFI Crete – Aris Thessalonikis 0–2 22. Mar -26 Aris Thessalonikis – OFI Crete 0–2 4. Oct -25 OFI Crete – Aris Thessalonikis 3–0 3. May -25 OFI Crete – Aris Thessalonikis 1–1

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete
1–0 M. Garcia ⚽
U. Racic
3′
12′
🟨 Andreas Bouchalakis
Manu García 🟨
19′
Half-time 1–0
G. Gianniotas 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
46′
46′
🔁 B. Gonzalez
↦ L. Dickmann
46′
🔁 Z. Karachalios
↦ A. Bouchalakis
Benjamín Garré 🟨
51′
R. Mir 🔁
↦ T. Kadewere
58′
C. Kouame 🔁
↦ M. Garcia
58′
65′
🔁 I. Apostolakis
↦ A. Cantalapiedra
65′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ T. Nuss
2–0 C. Kouame ⚽
68′
Noah Fadiga 🟨
73′
77′
🟨 Achilleas Poungouras
79′
🔁 I. Theodosoulakis
↦ T. Fountas
M. Hongla 🔁
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
80′
Fredrik Jensen 🟨
81′
Omar Richards ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
Uroš Račić ❌
penalty missed
88′
J. Petris 🔁
↦ B. Garre
90′
90′
⚽ K. Kodro 2–1
N. Athanasiou
Ricardo Velho 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
33 R. Velho G
27 N. Fadiga D
4 Fabiano D
97 F. Jensen D
3 O. Richards D
20 T. Dele-Bashiru M
10 U. Racic M
7 B. Garre M
5 M. Garcia M
34 S. Palacios M
9 T. Kadewere F
Bench (12)
1 S. Dioudis
21 L. Majkic
44 B. Sutalo
2 J. Petris
88 M. Kerkez
18 M. Hongla
22 M. Voriazidis
70 G. Gianniotas
17 R. Mir
8 C. Kouame
49 O. Boussaid
80 L. Moron

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

OFI Crete

3-4-2-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
15 A. Poungouras D
43 D. Nikolaou D
2 K. Krizmanic D
24 L. Dickmann M
14 A. Androutsos M
41 A. Bouchalakis M
3 N. Athanasiou M
11 T. Fountas F
10 A. Cantalapiedra F
18 T. Nuss F
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
1 K. Lilo
17 B. Gonzalez
16 C. Sielis
90 P. Kenourgiakis
8 G. Kanellopoulos
6 Z. Karachalios
21 I. Apostolakis
19 K. Kodro
46 I. Theodosoulakis
30 T. Romano
9 A. Leya Iseka

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anastasios Papapetrou · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.