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Eliteserien

Referee: Christian Moen

Molde

S T T S U

5–1

Full-time

Valerenga

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

3,0

1,6

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,59 xG 1,38

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 4. · Valerenga 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.0	16
2	Viking	6	5	0	1	+10	+7.2	15
3	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	+7	+2.9	13
4	Molde	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.9	7
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+1	+3.6	7
6	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
7	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
8	Fredrikstad	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.8	7
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.9	6
10	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.4	6
11	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.9	5
12	Rosenborg	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.3	5
13	Brann	6	1	1	4	+0	+1.1	4
14	KFUM Oslo	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.2	4
15	Start	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-6	-7.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+8	+7.5	10
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
4	Ham-Kam	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
5	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
6	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
7	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
8	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
9	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
12	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
4	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
5	Brann	4	1	1	2	+2	+0.3	4
6	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
7	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.6	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.4	3
10	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
11	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
12	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
15	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.