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Superligaen

Referee: Sandi Putros

Randers FC

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Aarhus

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

20%

75%

Both score Ø 60%

20%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,10 xG 1,97

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 9. · Aarhus 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	6	4	1	1	+6	+3.2	13
2	Brondby	5	4	1	0	+6	+0.1	13
3	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.0	11
4	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+5	+6.9	10
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
6	Horsens	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.6	7
7	Odense	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.0	5
8	Silkeborg	6	1	2	3	-4	-3.4	5
9	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-4	-4.2	4
10	Aarhus	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
11	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	-4	+3.9	3
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.1	9
2	Brondby	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.8	9
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
4	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+2	+5.1	6
5	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.3	4
6	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
7	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
8	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
9	Lyngby	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.0	3
10	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
11	Aarhus	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.1	6
2	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
3	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.8	4
4	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
5	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.1	4
6	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
7	Odense	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.3	2
8	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
9	Silkeborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Randers FC	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-4	+2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.