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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Valerenga

T S T U S

0–4

Full-time

Molde

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 12/14 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

58%

64%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,66 xG 2,89

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 13. · Molde 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	11	2	1	+23	+0.3	35
2	Tromso	13	8	3	2	+6	+1.6	27
3	Viking	13	8	2	3	+9	–	26
4	Brann	14	7	3	4	+8	-3.7	24
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	+11	+3.7	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	3	4	+6	+0.5	21
7	Stromsgodset	13	6	2	5	+3	-0.5	20
8	Lillestrom	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.8	20
9	Stabaek	13	4	4	5	-5	+0.9	16
10	Odd	14	4	4	6	-5	-0.3	16
11	Haugesund	13	4	3	6	-7	–	15
12	Rosenborg	14	3	4	7	-6	-1.8	13
13	Valerenga	12	3	2	7	-4	-1.6	11
14	Sandefjord	12	2	4	6	-8	-0.9	10
15	Ham-Kam	13	3	1	9	-17	+0.6	10
16	Aalesund	13	2	1	10	-16	-0.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	2	0	+14	–	17
2	Brann	7	5	2	0	+11	–	17
3	Molde	7	5	1	1	+11	+3.7	16
4	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
5	Stromsgodset	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.5	12
6	Stabaek	7	3	3	1	+4	–	12
7	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
8	Tromso	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.6	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	1	2	+4	–	10
10	Ham-Kam	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
11	Rosenborg	8	3	1	4	-2	-1.8	10
12	Lillestrom	6	3	0	3	+1	–	9
13	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+6	-0.9	8
14	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.3	8
15	Aalesund	7	2	1	4	-4	–	7
16	Valerenga	6	1	0	5	-4	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+9	+0.3	18
2	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+5	–	16
3	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.5	11
4	Lillestrom	6	3	2	1	+1	+1.8	11
5	Viking	6	3	1	2	-1	–	10
6	Valerenga	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.6	8
7	Stromsgodset	7	2	2	3	-2	–	8
8	Odd	8	2	2	4	-5	–	8
9	Molde	7	2	1	4	+0	–	7
10	Brann	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.7	7
11	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-9	+0.9	4
12	Haugesund	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4
13	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
14	Sandefjord	7	0	2	5	-14	–	2
15	Aalesund	6	0	0	6	-12	-0.6	0
16	Ham-Kam	6	0	0	6	-16	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.