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Taça de Portugal
SC Barreiro
2–5
Full-time
Madalena
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Portel 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 UD da Serra 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Sacavenense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Mação 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Varzim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Atlético CP 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Os Marialvas 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Aljustrelense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 CF Benfica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Vitória de Sernache 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Santo Antonio 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Fátima 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Naval 1893 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Paredes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Merelinense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Alcains 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Maria da Fonte 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Fazendense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 AD Marco 09 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Oliveira Hospital 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Cinfães 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Celoricense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Rebordosa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Alpendorada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Machico 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Camacha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Montalegre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Ponte da Barca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Mortágua 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Florgrade 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Maia Lidador 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Vila Meã 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Atlético Malveira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Sousense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Sertanense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Uniao Nogueirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Mocarriense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Régua 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Espinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Pevidem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Caldas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 AD Nogueirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Ermesinde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 O Grandolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Correlhã 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 União Montemor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Pacos de Brandao 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Ferreiras 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Nazarenos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Trofense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Penalva Castelo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Uniao de Pombal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
84 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
85 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -5 0
86 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -6 0
87 Minas de Argozelo 1 0 0 1 -8 0
88 Messejanense 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
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BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.